NFL Week 1 picks plus Priscos power rankings and big records that could get broken in 2022
NFL Week 1 picks plus Priscos power rankings and big records that could get broken in 2022
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Welcome to the Tuesday edition of the Pick Six newsletter!I'm not sure how it happened, but we are now just two days away from an actual profe sional football game being played. In just over 48 hours, the and will be opening the 2021 NFL season with a game in Los Angeles, but before that happens, we have about 300 more season predictions to get through, so we better get started. For today, we have the return of Pete Prisco's Power Rankings, and in what might be the biggest surprise, he doesn't have the defending Super Bowl champs ranked as his top team. Also coming today, I'll be unveiling my picks for Week 1, and in what is not a surprise at all, I'm picking the to win. That's what happens when you let a Bengals homer make NFL picks. Alright, let's get to the rundown. Actually, before we get to the rundown, here's a quick reminder to anyone who mi sed yesterday's newsletter. For our Labor Day edition, we predicted the final record for all 32 teams and . Alright, now let's really get to the rundown.As always, here's your weekly reminder to tell all your friends to sign up for the Pick Six newsletter. To get your friends to sign up, all you have to do iswith them. 1. Today's show: Final preseason mailbagDuring the NFL offseason, we like to spice things up each week on the Pick Six Podcast by adding a listener mailbag every Monday. As everyone knows, though, the mailman doesn't deliver on Labor Day, so we couldn't do a mailbag yesterday, which is why you're getting our final Monday mailbag of the offseason on a Tuesday.Anyway, our mailbag episodes are pretty simple: We read listener questions during the show and then answer as many of those questions as po sible. Questions can be about literally anything. I mean, I'm pretty sure someone once asked us if one-ply toilet paper is actually worse than two-ply. (The answer to that is definitely yes.) If we'll answer that, trust me when I say that we'll answer almost anything.Anyway, if you want to submit a question, all you have to do is go to Apple Podcasts () and leave a five-star review that includes your question. Here's one question that Ryan Wilson, Will Brinson and I answered for today's show.Q: If the Bills make it to the Super Bowl and lose, would the season be considered a succe s or failure?! What about a lo s in the AFC Championship?Since the Bills are playing this week and since they're also viewed as the Super Bowl favorite in Vegas, we decided that right now was the perfect time to answer this question. The Bills haven't been to a Super Bowl in 29 years, so if they end up making it that far, then I think they'd have to consider the season a succe s whether they win or lose the game. Unle s you're an unstoppable dynasty -- like the were for nearly 20 years -- any Kenny Young Jersey trip to the Super Bowl should be considered a succe sful season. That being said, if the Bills do make it to the Super Bowl and end up losing on a last-second field goal that mi ses wide right, then I might have to rea se s everything I just said about the season being a succe s.As for an AFC title game appearance, if they get that far and don't win, I think you would have to call the season a failure. The Bills have arguably the best roster in the AFC, they're the favorite to get to the Super Bowl and they've already been to an AFC title game under Sean McDermott. If they get back and lose, it's going to leave a sour taste in everyone's mouth, especially if that lo s is to the .If you want to listen to the rest of the mailbag,. You . 2. Prisco's Power Rankings heading into Week 1After spending the entire NFL offseason on a vacation where no one was allowed to contact him, Pete Prisco has finally returned to civilization this week just in time for start of the NFL season and just in time to unveil his first power rankings of the season.Here's a look at Prisco's top five teams heading into Week 1, and in a surprise, the defending Super Bowl champions are NOT at the top:BillsChiefsRamsBengalsI'm not Shelby Harris Jersey going to spoil the rest of the power rankings here, but I am going to give you a few nuggets. Here's what has changed since Prisco's last power rankings, which came out in early May after the draft ended. The biggest jump in the power rankings went to the , who might have actually just made the biggest jump in the history of the power rankings. Not only did the Saints move up 16 SPOTS (from 22nd overall to sixth overall), but Prisco has them ranked ahead of the , who are seventh. Prisco is clearly on the hype train, which is not a train I want to be on.The biggest tumble went to the , who fell NINE spots from eighth to 17th. Prisco thinks the Broncos are the worst team in the AFC West this year. As someone who picked the Broncos to win the Super Bowl, I find Prisco's ranking insulting and I'm probably going to let him know that on Twitter.Besides the Saints, the biggest surprise in this week's power rankings is probably the . Although they had a huge offseason, they still weren't able to crack Prisco's top 15. Miami checked in at No. 18 this week. For most of last season, Prisco had one of two AFC South teams ( and ) at the bottom of his rankings, but that's not the case going into 2022. For his first power rankings of the year, Prisco has the ranked dead last. If you want to know where your favorite team ended up in Prisco's Week 1 Power Rankings, . If you want to argue with Prisco over his rankings, you. I argue with him all the time about everything. 3. Breech's Week 1 picks: upset Packers, gets revenge on If it's Tuesday, that can only mean one thing: It's time for my weekly picks.If this is your first season with us, here's how the formula works around here: I stay up until an insane hour every Monday night so that I can give you my picks every Tuesday morning. The newsletter will feature three of my picks, and then if you feel like reading the rest of them, you . I get paid 7.3 cents every time someone clicks through, so I encourage you to click through early and often.With that in mind, here are three of my main picks for the week, starting with the NFL opener on Thursday: Buffalo (-2.5) at L.A. Rams:Sean McVay has never lost an opener as a head coach, which makes me want to pick the Rams, but I'm not going to do it. The Rams have a lot of key players who are banged up and that worries me. Whether it's elbow or shoulder, it just seems like they're hurting in key spots. I think this ends up being close, but in the end, I feel like the Bills will "Escape from L.A." with a win.PICK:Bills 30-23 over RamsGreen Bay at Minnesota (+1.5):There were reports last season that and Mike Zimmer didn't get along, which I'm only bringing up because I think we're going to see a rejuvenated Cousins now that he's playing for a coach who doesn't hate his guts. Not only does he have a new coach, but it's an offensive-minded coach in Kevin O'Connell, who should be able to take the Vikings offense to new heights. As for the Packers, I like their roster and they're my pick to get to the Super Bowl out of the NFC, but I think it's going to take a week or two to adjust to life without , so I'm taking the Vikings in an upset.PICK:Vikings 26-23 over PackersCleveland at Carolina (-2.5):I don't normally put a lot of stock into revenge games, but I'm completely buying the revenge angle in this game. I mean, I don't think there's ever been anyone who wants to beat their former team more than Baker Mayfield wants to beat the Browns. The crazy thing is that he might be able to do it because the roster isn't that bad. Not only did they make some huge upgrades on the offensive line with (center), (guard) and (tackle), but is also healthy. Plus, Mayfield actually has some solid targets in and . I think Baker gets his revenge.PICK: Panthers 19-16 over BrownsTo check out the rest of my . 4. NFL records that could be broken in 2022: , and could all make historyEvery season in the NFL, we see multiple records get broken, and this season won't be any different. Our Jeff Kerr spent the weekend hunkered down in his man cave so that he could find all the records that might get broken this year.Here's a list of five records that made Kerr's list:Tom Brady needs at least 40 touchdown pa ses to become the first player in NFL history to record 40 touchdown pa ses in three consecutive seasons. Brady can also become the first player with at least 40 touchdown pa ses in four different seasons.Ru sell Wilson needs 13 wins to surpa s Tom Brady (125) for the most playoff and regular season wins by a starting quarterback in his first 11 seasons. Wilson has won 113 games since 2012.Patrick Mahomes needs 2,264 pa sing yards in his first 12 starts this year to surpa s Matthew Stafford (21,254) for the most pa sing yards ever by a player in his first 75 career starts. needs five rushing touchdowns to join as the only quarterbacks with at least five rushing touchdowns in five consecutive seasons. Newton hit that mark in seven straight seasons from 2011 thru 2017. needs two games with at least 200 rushing yards to surpa s (six games) and O.J. Simpson (six) for the most games with 200 yards or more in NFL history.To check out the full list of records that . 5. One player from each NFL division who could shift the balance of power in 2022It's hard to imagine just one player shifting the balance of an entire division, but that could happen this year, at least according Tim Patrick Jersey to CBSSports.com's Jordan Dajani, who went through each NFL division to find the player who could have the biggest impact. Here's a look at the players from the AFC who could shift the balance of power:AFC East: (Dolphins). AFC North: (). AFC South: ().AFC West: (). To check out the . 6. Rapid-fire roundup: finally decide on a starting QBIt's been a busy 24 hours in the NFL, and since it's nearly impo sible to keep track of everything that happened, I went ahead and put together a roundup for you. named Steelers starting QB. Mike Tomlin that Trusbisky will be the team's starter against the Bengals on Sunday. Not only , but he also was listed atop the team's depth chart at QB for the game. First-round rookie will serve as the backup with being QB3. to play against . Le s than nine months after tearing his Achilles, Robinson is expected to be back on the field for the Jaguars. Doug Pederson announced Monday that the running back would this week against the Commanders. The announcement was somewhat surprising because it can sometimes take players up to 12 months to recover from a torn Achilles.Packers star tackle expects to play vs. Vikings. has only played in one game since tearing his ACL in December 2020, but it looks like he might finally be ready to return to the field. The Packers star tackle that he expects to play this week in Minnesota.Brian Daboll won't call plays for .During his time as offensive coordinator in Buffalo, Daboll was the one calling plays, but he won't be calling plays to start the season in New York. The Giants coach revealed this week that offensive coordinator Sunday against the .Patriots set to sign former first-round pick to practice squad. The Patriots will be adding some receiving depth this week in the form of , who's expected to sign with New England's practice squad, . The Vikings made Treadwell the 23rd overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft, but he only lasted four seasons in Minnesota. Treadwell was most recently with the Jaguars, but he was cut last week. appears to be getting a documentary on Netflix. It looks like Johnny Football is getting a documentary. There aren't many details known about the project, but Netflix did released a 10-season teaser for the documentary this week. If you want to check it out, .
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